Thursday, February 9, 2017

2017 Oscar Predictions

Image result for oscars



My absolute favorite television event is just a couple weeks away, and I can't freaking wait! The Academy Awards are like my Superbowl. I've been watching them every year since I was 11, when I saw Chicago win Best Picture in 2002 in my aunts hotel room. Ever since then, I've never missed a ceremony. This year will be my first year of posting my own personal predictions. But before I do that,There are just a couple things to keep in mind. There is no magic behind predicting. Like sports, you follows the stats and players and base your prediction off of that. Having said that, there are crazy surprises every year. You think one category clearly belongs to one movie, and the Academy gives it to another. It's all part of the fun! So, here are my 2017 Oscar predictions!

 Image result for oscars 2017









Image result for hattie mcdaniel oscar



Image result for jimmy stewart oscar






Image result for oscars selfie








Image result for Oscars





Image result for denzel washington oscar






Image result for old academy awards photos




Image result for audrey hepburn oscar






Best Supporting Actress

*
*
*
*
*

Viola Davis
Fences

 Image result for viola davis fences


Naomi Harris
Moonlight

 Image result for naomie harris moonlight



 Nicole Kidman
Lion

 Image result for nicole kidman lion movie



Octavia Spencer
Hidden Figures

Image result for octavia spencer hidden figures


Michelle Williams
Manchester by the Sea

Image result for michelle williams manchester by the sea


Will Win: Viola Davis

First off, Viola is queen and due for a win. She has taken home the Golden Globe, The BAFTA, The Critics Choice and the Screen Actors Guild Award. The last person to lose the Oscar after winning those four awards was 11 years ago, Eddie Murphy for Dreamgirls in 2006. I think out of all the acting categories, Viola is the tightest lock.


Should Win: Viola Davis

She isn't just the best in this category, she is the performance of the year, maybe the decade.Viola reaches the depth of human emotion and throws it out to the audience, leaving us in awe of this tremendous thespian.

Fun Fact: The youngest Oscar winner ever won in this category was Tatum O'Niel, she was 10 years old.

Image result for Tatum O'Neal oscars



*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*


Best Supporting Actor


*
*
*
*
*

Mahershala Ali
Moonlight

 Image result for mahershala ali moonlight


Jeff Bridges
Hell or High Water

 Image result for jeff bridges hell or high water


Lucas Hedges
Manchester by the Sea

 Image result for lucas hedges manchester by the sea


Dev Patel
Lion

 Image result for dev patel lion


Michael Shannon
Nocturnal Animals

Image result for michael shannon nocturnal animals


Will Win: Mahershala Ali

He only has a few minutes of screen time, but his presence is felt throughout the whole movie. The movie he is nominated for is an award darling, racking 8 nominations. He has also taken home the Screen Actors Guild and the Critics Choice Awards. He is not the tightest lock, losing the BAFTA could hurt his chances. I could see Michael Shannon or Dev Patel sneaking in there with an upset, but for now I'm happily calling Mahershala.


Should Win: Mahershala Ali

Marhershala did so much with this character that caught me off guard. He never let you forget that he is a tough, intimidating crack dealer. He never compromises the context of the character. But he also finds away to let you into this characters soul with only about 15 minutes of screen time. He is by far my number one pick for this category, and should absolutely win.

Fun Fact: The oldest actor to ever win an Oscar was Christopher Plummer in 2012 for Best Supporting Actor, he was 82.


Image result for christopher plummer oscars



*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

Best Lead Actress

*
*
*
*
*

Isabelle Huppert
Elle

Image result for isabelle huppert elle


Ruth Negga
Loving

Image result for ruth negga loving



Natalie Portman
Jackie

Image result for natalie portman jackie



Emma Stone
La La Land

Image result for emma stone la la land





Meryl Streep
Florence Foster Jenkins

Image result for meryl streep florence foster jenkins






Will Win: Emma Stone.
This is honestly a three way race. Emma Stone has the Screen Actors Guild and the BAFTA, Natalie Portman has the Critics Choice and Isabelle has best actress drama at the Golden Globes. But if I were to pick one, its Emma Stone.

Should Win:  Natalie Portman
My favorite lead actress performance, Amy Adams for Arrival, wasn't even nominated this year. Still, picking between Natalie and Emma is very difficult. Their performances are both so uniquely special. They are doing two very different things, and excel amazingly at it. In the end, I think what Natalie did was just slightly more impressive.

Fun Fact: Katherine Hepburn has more Oscar wins than any other actor, male or female. She has four, all for Best Lead Actress.

 Image result for katharine hepburn oscars




*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*



Best Lead Actor

*
*
*
*
*

Casey Affleck
Manchester by the Sea

 Image result for casey affleck manchester by the sea



Andrew Garfield
Hacksaw Ridge

 Image result for andrew garfield hacksaw ridge


Ryan Gosling
La La Land

 Image result for ryan gosling la la land


Viggo Mortensen
Captain Fantastic

 Image result for viggo mortensen captain fantastic



Denzel Washington
Fences

Image result for denzel washington fences movie



Will Win: Casey Affleck
This is another close race, this time between Denzel and Casey. On the one hand, Casey won the Critics Choice and Golden Globe, and scored the British Academy Award nomination, where Denzel criminally missed out. On the other hand, Denzel won the Screen Actors Guild award, and Casey Affleck is fighting a sexual abuse scandal that was settled in court, and just his nomination sparked a lot of controversy. Still, I'm going Casey here, because he's amazing in the movie, and the Academy has awarded Roman Polanski and Woody Allen in spite of their perspective controversies. If Denzel wins I won't be sad though.

Should Win: Denzel Washington
Again, neck and neck for me. I don't even feel comfortable saying I liked Denzel better, I am totally tied. But I put Casey in will win, so Denzel can go here. He masterfully created a totally compelling, problematic and surprisingly sympathetic character. If Casey wins the award it won't break my heart at all though.

Fun Fact: Daniel Day Lewis has won in this category more than anybody else, with three wins.


 Image result for daniel day lewis oscars



*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*




Best Director

*
*
*
*
*

Damien Chazzelle
La La Land

Image result for damien chazelle la la land


Mel Gibson
Hacksaw Ridge

 Image result for mel gibson hacksaw ridge



Berry Jenkins
Moonlight

 Image result for barry jenkins moonlight


Kenneth Lonnergan
Manchester by the Sea

 Image result for kenneth lonergan manchester by the sea



Denis Villenueve
Arrival

Image result for denis villeneuve arrival


Will Win: Damien Chazelle

Damien has the Golden Globe, Directors Guild Award and the Critics Choice Award, and his movie is nominated for a record tying 14 nominations. He's the guy that put all of that together, it would be crazy for him not to take it.


Should Win: Berry Jenkins

Having said that, and this is no offense at all to Damien or La La Land (it's my number 3 of the year, I LOVED it), what Berry Jenkins does in Moonlight, though less flashy, arguably required a more unique skill. Damien excelled at putting a modern, reality based spin on something Hollywood has done a million times, Berry created something we've never seen before. A story about a black kid growing up in the ghetto, and coming to terms with his sexuality, told with a never-before seen, place you right in the experience, vision. Berry deserves it, but Damien did great work too.

Fun Fact: If he wins, Damien Chazelle will be the youngest Best Director winner ever.


 Image result for damien chazelle awards



*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*




Best Picture

Image result for arrival 2016 poster



Image result for fences 2016 poster


Image result for hacksaw ridge 2016 poster


Image result for hell or high water 2016 poster


Image result for hidden figures 2016 poster



Image result for la la land 2016 poster



Image result for manchester by the sea 2016 poster



Image result for moonlight 2016 poster




Will Win: La La Land

Now, it can be fair to argue Moonlight for the win. In the past, Oscars award the flashier movie Best Director, while the smaller, lower budgeted movies have gotten Best Picture. Think 2012, when Life of Pi won Best Director and Argo won Picture. The next year Gravity took home Best Director and 12 Years a Slave took Picture. And even last year, The Revenant took Best Director while Spotlight won Best Picture. Having said that, I just don't see that happening here. Because in the vast history of the Academy Awards, the norm is still for whoever gets Best Director to win Best Picture. La La has taken best picture in nearly every awards race it has been nominated in. Not to mention it taking home Critics Choice and the Golden Globe. La La Land is also tied with All About Eve and Titanic for most nominations ever, and those other two both won best picture come Oscar night. All that to say, there is a lot of heat behind La La Land.

Should Win: Moonlight

This, in my opinion, is a far more important and special movie. It is a jarring glimpse into the life of a unheard and unseen type of people in America. It's my number two of the year, behind Silence. I love this movie, I want it to win, and I think it objectively should.

Fun Fact: Three movies are tied for most Oscars won, Ben Hur, Titanic and Lord of the Rings: the Return of the King; they each won 11.


Image result for 11 oscar wins


Here's the rest...

Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Manchester by the Sea (Don't rule out La La Land here though.)
Should Win: Manchester by the Sea


Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: Moonlight
Should Win: Moonlight


Best Animated Movie:
Will Win: Zootopia
Should Win: Kubo and the Two Strings (Holding out hope for a surprise win here!)


Best Foreign Film:
Will Win: The Salesmen
Should Win: I Don't Watch Foreign Films

Best Art Direction:
Will Win: Fantastic Beasts
Should Win: Fantastic Beasts

Best Cinematography:
Will Should: La La Land
Should Win: La La Land

Best Costume Design:
Will Win: Florence Foster Jenkins
Should Win: Jackie

Best Documentary Feature:
Will Win: O.J.: Made in America
Should Win 13th

Best Film Editing:
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Moonlight

Best Make Up and Hair Styling:
Will Win: A Man Called Ove
Should Win: Suicide Squad

 BEST MUSIC
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win:  La La Land

BEST MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
Will Win: “City of Stars,” La La Land
Should Win: “City of Stars,” La La Land

BEST SOUND EDITING
Will Win: Arrival
Should Win: Deepwater Horizon

BEST SOUND MIXING
Will Win: Hacksaw Ridge
Should Win: Arrival

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will Win: The Jungle Book
Should Win: The Jungle Book

No comments:

Post a Comment